Taxes are a necessary evil, and they're about to get a bit more
necessary, with Congress seemingly poised to raise taxes on a least some
Americans beginning in 2013.
But Americans didn't always view taxes with the dread and
indignation they do today. In fact, during World War II, as the
government was hiking taxes on most workers to help pay for the war,
Irving Berlin wrote an upbeat patriotic ditty called "I Paid My Income
Tax Today," which Danny Kaye sang and hundreds of radio stations played.
And until the 1980s, many Americans paid income taxes at far higher
rates than we have today, with little of the antipathy that taxpayers
feel toward Washington now.
The paradox today is that the tax burden on most Americans is at
the lowest level since at least 1979, according to the Congressional
Budget Office. That's one reason Democrats are pushing for tax hikes on
the wealthy, to help narrow the huge annual deficits that have pushed
the national debt above $16 trillion. Yet even as tax hikes on the
wealthy are starting to seem inevitable, a huge fight is brewing over
keeping them modest and exacting sharp cuts in government spending in
exchange. The fight that's starting now over fairly modest tax hikes
reveals a country that has changed dramatically over the last 30 or 40
years.
The first U.S. income tax was enacted in 1862 to help pay for the Civil War, according to Michael Lind's economic history, Land of Promise.
It expired a decade later, and no permanent income tax was established
until the 16th Amendment became law in 1913. (Don't expect much in the
way of a centennial celebration next year.)
Tax rates rose during World War I, fell sharply during the 1920s,
rose again during the Great Depression, and rose more during World War
II. They began to drift down starting in the 1950s, with the Ronald
Reagan tax cuts of the 1980s eventually establishing the basis for
today's tax code. Here are the tax rates paid by a household earning the
equivalent of $50,000 -- today's median income -- along with the top
tax rate, during different points in the 20th century:
1918 tax rate on median income: 6 percent; top rate: 77 percent
1928 median: 1.5 percent; top rate: 25 percent
1938 median: 4 percent; top rate: 79 percent
1948 median: 26 percent; top rate: 91 percent
1958 median: 22 percent; top rate: 91 percent
1968 median: 19 percent; top rate: 70 percent
Today's median: 15 percent; top rate: 35 percent
Looking back, what seems extraordinary is that Americans were
generally content with across-the-board tax rates during the 1950s and
'60s that were far higher than tax rates today. Obviously World War II
created a sense of national urgency unlike anything Americans feel
today, which is why taxpayers felt a sense of pride in paying taxes and
contributing to the well-being of the country--even a decade or more
after the war had ended.
But there are some other differences between then and now that
reflect the tough new reality politicians and taxpayers face getting
American back on track. For one thing, the U.S. economy grew about 4.3
percent per year on average from 1950 to 1970, a powerful rate of growth
that made the majority of Americans feel like they were getting ahead.
The U.S. economy today is growing at a sickly 2 percent or so, with many
frustrated workers feeling like they're falling behind. Nobody wants to
contribute more to a system they feel is failing them.
Americans also had far more trust in government in the '50s and
'60s, before the Vietnam War and Watergate cast Washington as inept and
corrupt. Trust in government seesawed from 1980 to 2008, but it is now
at record lows. This affects tax policy directly, because Americans are
loath to give more money to the government when they feel it's likely to
be wasted -- even if they're willing to do their fair share in other
ways, such as contributing to charity.
If there's any good news in these changing attitudes, it's that a
sour attitude toward government is likely to keep tax rates relatively
low for the indefinite future. So compared to the '50s, '60s and '70s,
Americans will most likely continue to keep more of their own money. The
problem is that we need to get used to the lower levels of government
spending on programs like Medicare, Social Security and defense that
sooner or later must accompany lower taxes. Maybe Washington needs to
commission some fresh musical propaganda to glorify sharp cutbacks in
government benefits.

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